A NONLINEAR ANALYSIS OF MONETARY POLICY WITH DOMINANCE INDICES IN TURKEY: MS-VAR APPROACH

dc.contributor.authorErsin, Ozgur
dc.contributor.authorBildirici, Melike
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-13T10:33:39Z
dc.date.available2024-03-13T10:33:39Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.departmentİstanbul Beykent Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe study focuses on analyzing the policies followed in Turkey based on inflation targeting with an application of interest rate corridor policy in which the spread between the two policy rates, namely, the borrowing and lending rates. To overcome the difficulty of two different policy rates, two indices, the PDI and the MDI are utilized to capture the response of the monetary authority within a nonlinear Taylor rule context. The empirical findings for the Turkish economy with MS-VAR and MS-Granger causality analyses suggest that while the policy interest rates are determined in the spirit of the Taylor rule, the monetary policy involuntarily affirms inflation after the application of the policy, a finding that is consistent with the FTPL theory. As a result, as the central bank tries to establish price stability and financial stability with two policy interest rates, accepting higher inflation rates could be unavoidable. The results also are in favor of bi-directional nonlinear causality which led to important policy implications.en_US
dc.identifier.endpage46en_US
dc.identifier.issn1582-6163
dc.identifier.issn2537-6071
dc.identifier.issue4en_US
dc.identifier.startpage22en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12662/4090
dc.identifier.volume20en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000423150400002en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherInst Economic Forecastingen_US
dc.relation.ispartofRomanian Journal Of Economic Forecastingen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectinflation targetingen_US
dc.subjectTaylor ruleen_US
dc.subjectnonlinear econometricsen_US
dc.subjectMarkov-switchingen_US
dc.subjectGranger causalityen_US
dc.titleA NONLINEAR ANALYSIS OF MONETARY POLICY WITH DOMINANCE INDICES IN TURKEY: MS-VAR APPROACHen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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