Modeling Urban Traffic by Means of Traffic Density Data: Istanbul Case

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2021

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Springer

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

The main goal of the proposed research is to perform a predictive modeling study on Istanbul’s traffic congestion estimation by using traffic density data. Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality (IMM) shared the data, which includes traffic density status according to 336 different routes in Istanbul, at the end of January 2020. Previous studies on the traffic problem in Istanbul have been limited due to a lack of data. Therefore, it is aimed to perform an initial study on predictive modeling for Istanbul’s traffic congestion forecast. As a preliminary result of the analysis, it is seen that the traffic density is low at 93% accuracy for all locations between 00:00–07:00 am. When the locations are examined for other hours, it is seen that there was no traffic density at some locations. In the planned study, intelligent modeling techniques will be performed with identifying out-of-routine situations in traffic flow. Advantages and disadvantages of predicted models will be discussed according to performance indicators such as RMSE and MAPE. The superior model will be selected according to these criteria and it is expected that preferred approach would be a starting point on future research for predictive forecast studies of Istanbul’s traffic congestion. © 2021, The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

Açıklama

International Conference on Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems, INFUS 2020 -- 21 July 2020 through 23 July 2020 -- -- 242349

Anahtar Kelimeler

Traffic density, Traffic forecasting, Urban traffic

Kaynak

Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing

WoS Q Değeri

Scopus Q Değeri

N/A

Cilt

1197 AISC

Sayı

Künye